Variance Betting Episode 2 | Professional Gambler Shares His English Premier League Preseason Picks

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, breaks down market implied models, the different odds styles in various countries, and shares picks for the Premier League title, top four, and relegation battles. He also dives into what's next for Variance Betting and shares stories from his time at Pinnacle and as a professional gambler. Link to Odds Checker: https://www.oddschecker.com/ Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Introduction 1:32 - Ted's time at Pinnacle 4:04 - the goal of Variance betting 5:45 - models + humans 8:00 - Behind the scenes at Pinnacle 13:26 - Learning from your mistakes 14:04 - The market implied model 16:09 - Value in the winners market 17:10 - Different odds styles 18:41 - Back to the winners market 19:56 - The Arsenal wager 21:43 - Liverpool's value 22:28 - The top four 23:56 - Bankroll management 25:00 - Manchester United's value 25:55 - Newcastle and Chelsea's value 27:33 - The relegation market 28:30 - Southampton's relegation chances 28:50 - Ipswich's Odds 29:12 - Leicester losing their coach 29:33 - Crystal Palace 30:41 - Wolves chances 30:58 - Everton to stay up? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.