EA - Announcing Manifest 2023 (Sep 22-24 in Berkeley) by Manifest

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Announcing Manifest 2023 (Sep 22-24 in Berkeley), published by Manifest on August 14, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.Forecasting Festival hosted by ManifoldTL;DR: Manifold is hosting a conference! 🥳 Chat with the Manifold team, special guests like Robin Hanson, Shayne Coplan, Patrick McKenzie, Dylan Matthews, Destiny, Aella, and more at our inaugural in-person gathering of the forecasting & prediction market community.More info & buy tickets: manifestconference.netWHEN: Sept 22-24WHERE: Berkeley, CAWHO: Everyone in the forecasting, EA, and LW communities. If you're reading this, you're invited!Join the Discord here :)Why should I come?Forecasting and prediction markets are effective ways of improving our judgement and decision-making - most people in the Effective Altruism and LessWrong communities will feel right at home at Manifest.Here are extra reasons to come:you think forecasting & prediction markets are impactful/fun/cool/rational/intriguing/etcyou want to vibe with other forecasting nerdsyou want to engage & network with the forecasting community (find jobs/recruit hires/see what's out there)you want to meet & chat with the Manifold team and our special guests (including Robin Hanson, Shayne Coplan, Patrick McKenzie, Dylan Matthews, Destiny, Aella, and more!)you want enjoy the gorgeous Rose Garden Inn.or if you like memes?A day at ManifestEverything's optional. There will always be a bunch of sessions running concurrently, but this is an example of what your day at Manifest might look like:10-11 - Opening session11-12 - Fireside chat: Robin Hanson12-1 - Lunch & mingling1-2 - Estimathon: fermi estimation with prizes and steep competition!2-3 - Speed friending: a few chats with other friendly, ambitious forecasting nerds :)3-4 - Break: relax, vibe, unwind, chill, destress, etc4-5 - Panel: Forecasting Founders (hear from Manifold, Metaculus, Polymarket, Kalshi, FRI, and more!)5-6 - Games & markets: chess, poker, and prediction markets!6-7 - Dinner & mingling7-8 - Workshop: How to Write Good Forecasting Questions8-12 - Murder She Bet: a murder mystery + a low-tech prediction market = fun!Who else is coming?The rest of the forecasting & prediction market community. Current speakers & special guests include:The whole Manifold team, including co-founders Austin Chen and Stephen & James GrugettRobin Hanson (economist & professor)Shayne Coplan (CEO of Polymarket)Patrick McKenzie (writer, Advisor at Stripe)Dylan Matthews (Head writer at Future Perfect, Vox)Destiny (streamer & political streamer)Aella (sex researcher & writer)Josh Rosenberg (CEO of the Forecasting Research Institute)Rational Animations (Rationality Youtuber)Byrne Hobart (Author of The Diff)Cate Hall (CEO of Alvea)Robert Miles (AI safety researcher & writer).and more to be announced!For the most up-to-date info, see manifestconference.net/speakers :)Where can I buy tickets?Buy tickets & check the most up-to-date info on the Manifest website! Tickets are free for students and employees of forecasting organizations.Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org