The DC Today - Thursday, February 16, 2023

ASK DAVID “Do you buy this stuff from Larry Lindsey and other economists like him that are worried that financial conditions are good enough that the Fed needs to assume their tightening is ‘not tight enough’? The reasoning seems to be that the Fed should take a message from financial conditions that they need to be tighter. Should the Fed be responding to financial conditions?” ~ L.K. I disagree with Larry Lindsey emphatically on this. It’s inherently contradictory – if the Fed were to try to let financial conditions drive monetary policy, then financial conditions would price (or try to price) how and what the Fed would be reacting to, giving the Fed a constantly moving target. The Fed influences yields and multiples and spreads; to then be influenced by yields, multiples, and spreads is perpetually circular and incoherent. Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com