Why China & the US won't go to war over Taiwan

There's been a lot of talk recently about the possibility of the US and China going to war if China invades Taiwan, but as usual, I'm here to dampen the hype and reduce expectations. Let's not rush into WWIII, and instead have a rational conversation about how likely war between the world's foremost superpowers actually is.Sorry for the delay in episodes, was away with the family over Easter.Chapters2:30 What is Taiwan? The One China Policy05:24 Taiwanese cultural politics and identity15:20 We would all die21:20 Pyrrhic victory27:44: China's other strategy31:45: Taiwan's situation41:55: Taiwan is not a priority for the US48:00 Conclusions-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Sign up for Buzzsprout to launch your podcasting journey: https://www.buzzsprout.com/?referrer_id=162442Subscribe to the Sinobabble Newsletter: https://sinobabble.substack.com/Support Sinobabble on Buy me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Sinobabblepod-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------SourcesMelissa J. Brown, Is Taiwan Chinese?The Impact of Culture, Power, and Migration on Changing IdentitiesChris Miller, Chip War:The Fight for the World's Most Critical TechnologyKerry Brown and Kalley Wu Tzu-Hui, The Trouble With Taiwan: History, Identity and a Rising China_ History, the United States and a Rising ChinaCSIS, The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan (https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan)The New York Times, Who Benefits From Confrontation With ChinaSyaru Lin, Taiwan’s China Dilemma, Contested Identities and Multiple Interests in Taiwan’s Cross-Strait Economic Policy-Stanford University PressThe National Interest, The Worrisome Erosion of the One China PolicySupport the showSign up for Buzzsprout to launch your podcasting journey: https://www.buzzsprout.com/?referrer_id=162442Subscribe to the Sinobabble Newsletter: https://sinobabble.substack.com/Support Sinobabble on Buy me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Sinobabblepod

Om Podcasten

A relaxing, educational podcast covering China's modern history, current events, and academic analyses of China's politics, society, and culture in a variety of mini-series. Starting with the history of the 20th century, this podcast aims to explore all facets of the history of China, from the major events to the smallest local changes, to give you a full picture of the development of one of the world's most powerful nations. As the series develops, we will discuss Chinese art, religion, politics, culture, and economics, bringing the country's past to life. If you're more interested in modern China, stay tuned for the modern China series where we talk about how the CCP exercises control, makes people disappear, and encourages loyalty. We also get on the ground and talk to the people of Hong Kong about their recent experiences with the protests in the territory in 2019.