Predicting the Unpredictable with Alex Shahidi

The investment world is filled with overconfidence. We obsessively track our wins while conveniently forgetting our losses, leading most investors—even professionals—to achieve prediction accuracy barely above 50%. This sobering reality forms the foundation of a fascinating conversation about why predicting markets is so difficult and how diversification offers protection against our behavioral biases. When we zoom in too closely on market movements, every fluctuation appears significant, tr...