Will macroeconomic shocks lead to business cycle recession?

The importance of asset allocation and how investors can achieve alpha, according to James Kostohryz (1:40). 3 major shocks facing the US economy (4:30). Why Q1 GDP number was actually good (11:00). Iran, Israel, the US, and global oil prices (17:00). Look closely at monthly economic data, especially weekly jobless claims (28:10). No longer bullish on gold (33:20). (SDS) and going short on implied volatility (35:15). How dependent the US is on international trade, China in particular (41:50).Show Notes:Gold Is No Longer Safe: Why I'm Taking Profits On Gold And MinersWill War Trigger A Bear Market And Spike In Oil?Show transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions