The Art of Prediction
Into The Abyss - Ein Podcast von Todd Decker
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Mike, Jared, and Todd discuss prediction. What skills and practices make people "superforecasters"? How do prediction betting markets like PredictIt work? Brier scores and how to quantify the accuracy of probabilistic predictions. What are the limitations of prediction, for people and for algorithms? How might the practices of probabilistic predicting also encourage intellectual honesty and improve social discourse?
