Why a recession by end-2023 should be the base case

Peter Hooper, Global Head of Economic Research, and Matthew Luzzetti, Chief US Economist, discuss how the US economy is the furthest away from the Fed’s targets in forty years. This gap, captured by persistently elevated inflation and a historically tight labour market, is likely to necessitate a more aggressive response from the Fed that ultimately leads to a recession by the end of next year.

Om Podcasten

Podzept is a podcast, which addresses the fundamental issues driving the world of economics and finance: it provides a platform for Deutsche Bank analysts to share their findings with clients and the wider world. Behind the Headlines: In-depth conversations with decision makers. Jim Reid digs deep for insights.